Iraq Vs. Indonesia Prediction And Betting Advice
Indonesia, playing in their first Asian Cup since 2007, takes on Iraq at Ahmed bin Ali Stadium on Monday to start Group D play.
The Indonesians finished second in their third-round qualifying group thanks to a convincing 7-0 victory over Nepal and a 3-0 victory for Jordan over Kuwait. Meanwhile, the Lions of Mesopotamia secured their spot in the tournament by finishing second in their second qualification phase, behind Iran.
When Indonesia persuaded Shin Tae-yong to take charge of the national squad, it was viewed as quite the coup, and the South Korean helped foster the growth of an intriguing new talent pool.
The man who orchestrated South Korea’s incredible upset of the defending champions, Germany, in the 2018 World Cup faces a far more difficult assignment this time around.
Based on the most recent FIFA rating, Indonesia is ranked 146th, which places them second from the bottom among participating teams in the Asian Cup, behind Hong Kong (150).
It will be difficult for Tae-yong to advance them past the group stage for the first time, as they are grouped with Vietnam, Iraq, and the top-ranked Asian country, Japan.
With Indonesia losing three friendlies this month by a total of 11-1, and having lost five straight games across all competitions, its form should have been stronger going into this competition.
They are now bottom of their second-round qualification group with one point after two matches, and they have not won against an Asian opponent since defeating Brunei twice in 2026 World Cup qualifying.
Despite their recent dismal performance, Indonesia has always started Asian Cup campaigns strongly, winning their opening match in each of their previous two outings (2004 and 2007) and never losing their opening match.
With a seeding of 63, which puts them second in this group, Iraq is expected to go to the tournament’s knockout round for the eighth time in a row.
Jesus Casas led the national squad to an incredible double last year, winning the Arabian Cup in September and then winning the King’s Cup for the first time ever.
The Asian Cup will be the first big continental competition for Casas as a head coach, primarily guiding young clubs in the early parts of his career.
The Spaniard did, however, aid Luis Enrique during Spain’s run to the Euro 2020 semifinals in major competition coaching experience.
Iraq had only lost once in their previous eight Asian Cup group stage matches, that being against Japan (1-0), whom they will play on matchday two.
They have led their second-round group with a perfect record after two games, scoring six goals and giving up only one, so they are off to a fantastic start in their bid to qualify for their first World Cup since 1986.
The Lions of Mesopotamia have won six straight games against Indonesia, including a resounding 5-1 victory in a November 2023 World Cup qualifier. The team has never lost to Indonesia.
While Ivar Jenner, who plays for Eredivisie team Utrecht, currently has five caps, Justin Hubner, who is still waiting for his first Premier League appearance for Wolverhampton Wanderers, has earned his first three caps for Indonesia this year, ranking second-fewest among the 26-man squad behind Wahyu Prasetyo of Persib Semarang (two).
Elkan Baggott of Ipswich Town reached 21 caps in their loss to Iran last week (5-0), while Marselino Ferdinan is three caps away from 20. Pratama Arhan, their most seasoned international selected for this competition, can reach 40 caps on Monday.
They finished three points ahead of Indonesia in Group A. Witan Sulaeman led them with two goals in Asian Cup qualification, and Marc Klok and Rachmat Irianto scored goals in their first third-round qualifying match against Kuwait, enabling them to come back from behind and win 2-1.
At the Asian Cup, Casas has a mix of young and seasoned players to pick from. Akam Hashim is the only one who hasn’t played for Iraq internationally, while Montader Madjed earned his first cap last week in a 1-0 friendly loss against South Korea.
Aymen Hussein is one appearance away from reaching 70, Ibrahim Bayesh is one appearance away from reaching 50, Ali Adnan is nine appearances shy of 100, and Bashar Resan reached his 60th appearance a week ago.
Resan, Osama Rashid, Youssef Amyn, and Ali Al-Hamadi are among the six Iraqi players who have scored goals in their first two 2026 World Cup qualifying matches. They defeated Indonesia 5-1, with Jordi Amat’s own goal sealing the victory.
Potential starting lineup for Indonesia:
Ari; Baggott, Ridho, Amat; Sayuri, Hubner, Klok, Arhan; Sulistyawan, Struick, Drajad
Iraq's potential starting lineup:
Hassan; H. Ali, Natiq, Adnan, Doski; Iqbal, Bayesh, Resan; Jasim, Hussein, M. Ali